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week 12 nfl football picks 2021
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п»їNFL Week 12 2020 picks.
Well, at least I’m consistent.
For Week 12, I went 6-8 straight up for the second straight week. I also went 6-8 against the spread.
MDS, in contrast, went 8-6 on straight-up games but 6-8 against the spread.
MDS is now 100-63, and I’m 97-66. Against the spread, I’ve at 73-83-4. MDS is 64-94-2.
Texans (-3) at Lions.
MDS’s take : The Texans are coming off perhaps their best performance of the season against the Patriots, and the Lions are coming off perhaps their worst against the Panthers. Houston will show it’s continuing to play hard for Romeo Crennel.
MDS’s pick : Texans 27, Lions 17.
Florio’s take : If the former Houston Roughnecks quarterback can master the Lions, the current Houston Texans quarterback should be able to do it, too.
Florio’s pick : Texans 24, Lions 17.
MDS’s take : It sounds ridiculous for two 3-7 teams, but this is a big one in the NFC East race. I think the Cowboys are going to make a statement.
MDS’s pick : Cowboys 28, Washington 14.
Florio’s take : Strength coach Markus Paul’s medical emergency wiped out Tuesday’s practice and left the players and coaches rattled. Playing on Thursday could be a welcome respite, and a way to pay tribute to Paul.
Florio’s pick : Cowboys 27, Washington 20.
MDS’s take : The Ravens would love nothing more than to be the team to give the Steelers their first loss of the season, but I just don’t see greatness from Baltimore this year. The Ravens are going to lose, and struggle to reach playoff contention.
MDS’s pick : Steelers 28, Ravens 20.
Florio’s take : The Ravens are on the ropes. It’s time for the Steelers to punch them through.
Florio’s pick : Steelers 23, Ravens 20.
Raiders (-3) at Falcons.
MDS’s take : The Raiders suffered a tough loss on Sunday night, but I like the way this team is playing. They shouldn’t have much trouble against a Falcons team that’s going nowhere.
MDS’s pick : Raiders 31, Falcons 17.
Florio’s take : Jon Gruden faces the guy who replaced Jon Gruden in Tampa. Jon Gruden currently has the better overall team.
Florio’s pick : Raiders 28, Falcons 20.
MDS’s take : I love Chargers rookie quarterback Justin Herbert, but the rest of the Chargers’ roster has a lot of holes in it, and I like the Bills to win big.
MDS’s pick : Bills 30, Chargers 20.
Florio’s take : The Bills surely would have preferred to get right back on the horse after the Hail Murray, but with two weeks to get ready for L.A., the Bills should be ready to make their run at the franchise’s first division title in 25 years.
Florio’s pick : Bills 31, Chargers 21.
Giants (-5.5) at Bengals.
MDS’s take : Without Joe Burrow, there’s not much reason to watch the Bengals this year. The Giants are playing hard and might just be the favorites to win the NFC East.
MDS’s pick : Giants 27, Bengals 14.
Florio’s take : Without Joe Burrow, the Bengals’ cupboard is bare-o.
Florio’s pick : Giants 20, Bengals 9.
MDS’s take : This game may be decisive in the AFC South race. I like the Colts’ defense to shut the Titans’ offense down and win a low-scoring game.
MDS’s pick : Colts 14, Titans 10.
Florio’s take : The Titans know the stakes. If they can avoid special-teams miscues, they should be able to even the season series.
Florio’s pick : Titans 24, Colts 20.
MDS’s take : The Panthers’ defense is coming off a shutout of the Lions, but the Vikings’ offense should put up plenty of points on Sunday.
MDS’s pick : Vikings 30, Panthers 13.
Florio’s take : Minnesota’s window is closing. It won’t slam shut just yet.
Florio’s pick : Vikings 28, Panthers 23.
Cardinals (-2.5) at Patriots.
MDS’s take : I have a very hard time seeing this Patriots Defense slowing down Kyler Murray & Co. The Cardinals should cruise in this one.
MDS’s pick : Cardinals 31, Patriots 21.
Florio’s take : If the Patriots couldn’t stop Deshaun Watson, they won’t be able to stop Kyler Murray.
Florio’s pick : Cardinals 24, Patriots 17.
Dolphins (-7) at Jets.
MDS’s take : The Jets are continuing their march to 0-16, and the Dolphins are trying to keep their playoff hopes alive. Tua Tagovailoa won’t get benched this time.
MDS’s pick : Dolphins 24, Jets 14.
Florio’s take : Miami gets the best chance to get things back on track.
Florio’s pick : Dolphins 27, Jets 13.
Browns (-7) at Jaguars.
MDS’s take : The Browns have a very good chance of getting to the playoffs, in part because of their easy schedule. This should be another easy win.
MDS’s pick : Browns 30, Jaguars 10.
Florio’s take : Cleveland gets a break from bad weather. The Jaguars don’t get a break from bad football.
Florio’s pick: Browns 24, Jaguars 13.
Saints (-6) at Broncos.
MDS’s take : The Saints will move to 2-0 with Taysom Hill at quarterback, and 7-0 in games Drew Brees has missed the last two years.
MDS’s pick : Saints 24, Broncos 20.
Florio’s take : Vic Fangio came up with a way to confuse Tua. Can Fangio do it again with Taysom? Not with Sean Payton drawing up the plays.
Florio’s pick : Saints 30, Broncos 13.
MDS’s take : The 49ers will play tough in this one, but they just don’t have the firepower to keep up with the Rams.
MDS’s pick : Rams 24, 49ers 21.
Florio’s take : The Rams get a chance to return the favor against the 49ers, at a time when the Rams are getting ready to make a run at the No. 1 seed.
Florio’s pick : Rams 27, 49ers 17.
Chiefs (-3.5) at Buccaneers.
MDS’s take : Sunday’s best game will give Patrick Mahomes a big opportunity to show that he has taken over Tom Brady‘s title of best quarterback in the NFL.
MDS’s pick : Chiefs 30, Buccaneers 21.
Florio’s take : The Bucs don’t have a prime-time problem; they have a big-game problem. And this is another one.
Florio’s pick : Chiefs 31, Buccaneers 24.
MDS’s take : This game probably represents the Bears’ last chance to establish themselves as playoff contenders, and I don’t think they have it in them.
MDS’s pick : Packers 27, Bears 20.
Florio’s take : Nick Foles or Mitch Trubisky, it doesn’t matter. The Packers get back on the right track, at least for now.
Florio’s pick : Packers 24, Bears 13.
Seahawks (-6) at Eagles.
MDS’s take : The Seahawks’ pass defense is weak, but Carson Wentz is weaker. Seattle shouldn’t have much trouble winning in Philadelphia.
MDS’s pick : Seahawks 34, Eagles 21.
Florio’s take : This was a playoff game last year. It won’t be this year.
Florio’s pick : Seahawks 30, Eagles 17.


NFL odds, lines, spreads, picks, predictions for Week 12, 2020: Proven model loving Giants, Colts.
SportsLine's computer model simulated every Week 12 NFL game 10,000 times with surprising results.
The Week 12 NFL schedule features eight games in the early window on Sunday, three in the late window and primetime games on Sunday night, Monday night, and Tuesday night. The defending champion Chiefs are 9-1 and will visit the Buccaneers (7-4) in a potential Super Bowl preview on Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET. The Chiefs are 3.5-point road favorites, with the over-under at 56 in the Week 12 NFL odds from William Hill Sportsbook.
On Sunday Night Football, the oldest rivalry in the NFL will be renewed when the Packers (7-3) host the Bears (5-5). Green Bay is a 9.5-point home favorite in the Week 12 NFL spreads for the teams' 201st all-time meeting. All of the Week 12 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 12 NFL picks now.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up over $7,800 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago.
It's a sizzling 19-10 on top-rated NFL picks this season, already returning almost $800. The model enters Week 12 on an incredible 115-75 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Additionally, the model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has examined the latest Week 12 NFL odds and NFL betting lines from William Hill, simulated every snap, and its predictions are in. Head to SportsLine now to see them all.
Top NFL predictions for Week 12.
One of the top Week 12 NFL picks the model recommends: The Giants (-6) cover on the road against the Bengals. Cincinnati is just 2-7-1 on the season but there was reason for optimism because of the play of rookie quarterback Joe Burrow. However, Burrow suffered a torn ACL that ended his season and the Bengals will now turn to Brandon Allen as their starter in Week 12.
The Giants have won two games in a row and should be refreshed coming off a bye week. After failing to produce 350 yards of total offense in their first seven games, the Giants have crossed that threshold in their last three contests.
SportsLine's model predicts that the Giants will put up well over 350 yards of total offense once again. That's a big reason why New York covers in nearly 60 percent of simulations, while the over (44) has plenty of value.
Another one of the top Week 12 NFL predictions from the model: The Colts (-3) cover against the Titans in a key AFC South clash. Both teams boast a 7-3 record, four games clear of the third-place Texans. And with the division looking like a two-team race, Indianapolis picked up the crucial tiebreaker by knocking off the Titans in Week 11.
The Titans picked up a gutsy overtime win at Baltimore this past week, but haven't been strong overall on the road this year, going just 1-3 against the spread. The simulations show Indianapolis holding Titans running back Derrick Henry under 100 yards on the ground as the Colts cover in well over 50 percent of simulations. The under (51.5) also has plenty of value since that hits almost 60 percent of the time.
How to make Week 12 NFL picks.
The model has also made the call on every other game on the Week 12 NFL schedule and identified a Super Bowl contender that goes down hard in a shocking upset. You can only get every pick for every game here.
What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 12? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds from William Hill below and then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are covering in more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that is up over $7,800 on its top-rated NFL picks.


Super Bowl 2021 odds, spread, line: Buccaneers vs. Chiefs predictions, prop bets, NFL betting favorite, picks.
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Super Bowl LV is under one week away and the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are set to play on football’s biggest stage. Tom Brady will try to add to his NFL record book, while Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs will look to become the first team to win back-to-back Super Bowls since Brady did it with the Patriots in 2003 and 2004. See below for odds, picks, analysis and more for the 2021 Super Bowl. Plus, click here to get an EDGE with Rotoworld Premium for betting trends, live odds and more.
Super Bowl 2021 odds, favorite, spread, line.
According to PointsBet, the Kansas City Chiefs are this year’s favorite over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the Lombardi Trophy. See more on the point spread, moneyline and points total below:
Super Bowl 2021 prop bets.
Super Bowl LV picks, predictions.
Hayden Winks’ picks: The Super Bowl opening line started at Chiefs -3 with an over/under of 57.5 points, and I took the Chiefs and the under immediately after projecting a 30-24 final. The under is my favorite bet right now between the sides and total for a few reasons. Peter King’s Super Bowl LV preview.
Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Week 12 matchup (Rotoworld)
The Week 12 Final Score Is Misleading.
The final score could’ve been closer to 38-24 if the Chiefs hadn’t coughed up a red zone fumble and settled for two red zone field goals, if the Chiefs kept their foot on the gas in the second half instead of chewing clock, or if Mike Evans hadn’t scored two garbage-time touchdowns in the fourth quarter. This game was a textbook example of how the final score doesn’t tell the full story.
Super Bowl LV player projections from Hayden Winks (Rotoworld)
Kansas City Chiefs projections.
Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs QB : Patrick Mahomes‘ projection looks crazy — nobody ever projects for 350 yards — but the Chiefs are very likely to throw 35-50 times against the Bucs. (Projection here) Chiefs Wide Receivers : WR Tyreek Hill went so nuclear against the Bucs in Week 12 (12-263-3) that I spent the 30 minutes it took to clip all of his touches from that game (video). The Bucs switched up their coverages then, but Hill kept getting open. I don’t think the Bucs have a single corner capable of hanging with Hill when they go to Cover 3 or Cover 1 man. (Projection here)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers projections.
Tom Brady, Buccaneers QB: Tom Brady also projects well. The Bucs may run the ball early — Kansas City’s defense faced the 28th-highest neutral pass rate this season because the Chiefs are typically light in the box — but Tampa’s projected game script favors a pass-heavy game as three-point dogs. (Projection here) Buccaneers Wide Receivers : Before the NFC Championship, Antonio Brown was reportedly “day-to-day”. It’s unknown if he’ll play in the Super Bowl, but I left him for now. Even at full health, Brown is not an every-down player. He lines up wide only in three-receiver sets and could even be pushed by Scotty Miller, who scored a long touchdown last game. (Projection here)
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Game Theory: Projected 2021 NFL Draft order at Week 12.
Cynthia Frelund uses her mathematical model to project where every team will pick in the first round of the 2021 NFL Draft based on where they stand heading into Week 12.
Game Theory: Projecting the winner of Super Bowl LV.
Cynthia Frelund uses her mathematical model as well as Next Gen Stats to project the score and win probability of Super Bowl LV between the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Game Theory: How WRs will have success in Super Bowl LV.
NFL Network's Cynthia Frelund discusses how wide receivers will have success in Super Bowl LV.
Game Theory: The area Packers WRs dominated in 2020 season.
Game Theory: The area Gree Bay Packers WRs dominated in 2020 season.
Game Theory: Examining Chiefs defense vs. deep passing in 2020.
NFL Network's Cynthia Frelund examines the Kansas City Chiefs secondary against deep passing in 2020.
'Power Rankings' Power Moves: Overperforming units of 2020.
'Power Rankings': Power Moves.
Game Theory: Conference championships win probabilities, score projections.
NFL Media's Cynthia Frelund projects scores and win probabilities for both conference championship games.
Game Theory: Every team's chance to win SB LV heading into conference championships.
NFL analyst Cynthia Frelund uses her mathematical model to project every team's chance to win Super Bowl LV heading into the conference championship weekend of the 2020 NFL playoffs.
Game Theory: Frelund's 'interesting matchup to watch' in Bills-Chiefs.
NFL Network's Cynthia Frelund shares the matchup to watch in the 2020 AFC Championship Game between the Buffalo Bills and the Kansas City Chiefs.
Game Theory: Aaron Rodgers' early-down success could 'change this game' vs. Bucs.
NFL Network's Cynthia Frelund break down Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers' early-down success could 'change this game' vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Game Theory: How Packers can overcome Bucs' blitz-heavy scheme.
NFL Network's Cynthia Frelund explains how the Green Bay Packers can overcome Tampa Bay Buccaneers' blitz-heavy scheme.
'Power Rankings' Power Moves: Biggest championship mismatches.
NFL analyst Cynthia Frelund delivers the biggest mismatches to watch for in the AFC and NFC Championship Games.
Game Theory: Divisional Round win probabilities, score projections.
Cynthia Frelund projects the score and win probability for every game in the Divisional Round of the 2020 NFL playoffs.
Cynthia Frelund's Divisional Round game picks.
NFL Network's Cynthia Frelund's Divisional Round game picks.
Game Theory: Every team's chance to make Super Bowl LV at Divisional Round.
NFL analyst Cynthia Frelund uses her mathematical model to project every team's chance to make Super Bowl LV as we head into the Divisional Round of the 2020 NFL playoffs.
Next Gen Stats: Ravens-Bills Divisional Round preview.
Josh Allen's ability to stretch the field may give the Buffalo Bills the edge over Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens in the Divisional Round of the 2020 NFL playoffs. Cynthia Frelund uses her mathematical model as well as insights from Next Gen Stats to preview Ravens-Bills and project the winning team.
Game Theory: Buccaneers' X-factor vs. Saints.
NFL Network's Cynthia Frelund breaks down why Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Antonio Brown is the X-factor in the NFC Divisional Round game against the New Orleans Saints.
Game Theory: Packers' X-factor vs. Rams.
NFL Network's Cynthia Frelund shares Green Bay Packers' X-factor vs. Los Angeles Rams.
Game Theory: Chiefs' X-factor against Browns.
NFL Network's Cynthia Frelund analyzes the Kansas City Chiefs' X-factor against the Cleveland Browns.
Game Theory: Projecting Aaron Jones' stat line vs. Rams in Divisional Round.
NFL Network's Cynthia Frelund projects Green Bay Packers running back Aaron Jones' stat line vs. the Los Angeles Rams in the Divisional Round.
Game Theory: Marquise Brown's projected stat line vs. Bills in Divisional Round.
NFL Network's Cynthia Frelund projects Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Marquise Brown's stat line against the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Divisional Round.
'Power Rankings' Power Moves: Divisional Round X-factors.
NFL analyst Cynthia Frelund highlights three X-factors heading into the Divisional Round.
Game Theory: Super Wild Card Weekend win probabilities, score projections.
Cynthia Frelund projects the score and win probability for every Super Wild Card Weekend game in the 2020 NFL Playoffs.
Game Theory: Every team's chance to make Super Bowl LV entering Super Wild Card Weekend.
NFL analyst Cynthia Frelund uses her mathematical model to project every team's chance to make Super Bowl LV as we head into Super Wild Card Weekend of the 2020 NFL Season.
Next Gen Stats: Will Ravens get revenge vs. Titans?
Next Gen Stats reveal how the Baltimore Ravens can avenge their 2019 playoff loss to the Tennessee Titans in the AFC Wild Card Game of the 2020 NFL season.
Game Theory: Packers' chance of winning Super Bowl LV.
NFL Network's Cynthia Frelund shares the Green Bay Packers' chance to make Super Bowl LV.


NFL Picks Against the Spread Conference Championships 2021.
Get the most recent odds for the NFL’s Conference Championship Round in 2021 Our top predictions and picks for the season’s Conference Championship Round View stats from past seasons to help give you an edge over the sportsbooks.
After nineteen weeks of professional football, there are just four franchises remaining in the NFL’s 2020/21 postseason, two in each conference, all ready to battle for the privilege of playing in February’s Big Game in Tampa, aka Super Bowl LV (55).
It took some fantastic play to get to this point in the playoffs, from GOAT Tom Brady’s Bucs showing up on both sides of the ball to take care of Drew Brees and his Saints for possibly the last time in Brees’ Hall of Fame-worthy career to the Chiefs barely outscoring the Browns despite losing starting quarterback Patrick Mahomes to a head injury.
And now, some potentially breathtaking matchups remain – in the NFC the Green Bay Packers led by potential league MVP Aaron Rodgers takes on Tom Brady and his talent heavy Buccaneers, and in the AFC young QB phenom, Josh Allen and his stampeding Buffalo Bills will face the defending champions possibly without their star hurler.
Here are our predictions, picks, spreads, and odds of the NFL 2020 /21 Conference Championship Round – good luck!
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers (-3.5)
How to watch: Sunday, 3:05 PM ET, FOX.
The two main surprises that the Tampa Bay Bucs had for the Saints during the Divisional Round of the playoffs were their strong rushing attack starring “Playoff Lenny” Leonard Fournette and also QB Tom Brady’s willingness to target his less utilized teammates like WR Scott Miller and TW Cameron Brate for some huge, season-saving plays, showing the type of team depth required to win in the postseason, especially facing these big-scoring Packers.
The Packers made it look easy against the LA Rams last week, winning 32-18 and establishing themselves as the team to beat in this postseason tournament, especially given who is under center in Green Bay, future Hall of Famer, and potential NFL MVP this season Aaron Rodgers, who leads the league in TDs (48) and completion percentage (70.7) and has arguably the best receiver in the league to target, Davante Adams, who leads the league in receiving TDs (18) and receiving yards per game (98.1).
What a classic NFL showdown – Brady and Rodgers and their top-10 offenses and defenses, facing off to play in Tampa in Super Bowl LV – could be a toss-up so take the GOAT and the points for the win.
Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs (-3)
How to watch: Sunday, 6:40 PM ET, CBS.
The Buffalo Bills easily took care of Lamar Jackson’s Baltimore Ravens, putting continuous pressure on the usually mobile QB and getting full production from their playmaking young quarterback, Josh Allen, who threw for four TD passes with no interceptions to a receiving corps that includes three sure-handed stars, Stefon Diggs, John Brown, and Cole Beasley, a squad that could take full advantage of a Chiefs defense that can struggle against the pass.
Didn’t matter that QB Patrick Mahomes left the game with a head injury (he remains in concussion protocol), because Kansas City Chiefs head coach Andy Reid had full confidence in his 35-year old veteran backup, Chad Henne, who proceeded to drive the bus home for the win, including a game-saving run and a game-winning shotgun pass on 4th and inches, though whether the team could do that again against these talented Bills remains to be seen.
If Mahomes can play, this game takes on a new dimension, but right now he is still in concussion protocol and it is impossible to put a timeline on his return, so check back, but regardless this Chiefs team might be too big a machine to beat.




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